For the record, I still believe that there will not be a breach of
the debt ceiling and no overt default for the US. Things will be worked
out in the nick of time, like they always are.
However, the media is full of articles wondering about what
‘investors’ might do in response to a US default and/or credit
downgrade. What will happen to Treasury prices? Will they go down as
investors dump them en masse in response to a credit downgrade forcing interest rates to climb?
It’s a big question and the most likely answer is “No, not really”.
Partly because these so-called investors have been well-conditioned to
believe that another bailout is always around the corner, but mainly
because they have nowhere to go.
The big money is trapped.
Tuesday, March 6, 2012
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