The FDIC is broke (although not without additional Fed/Congress credit
access) so is not closing banks that should be closed. Bank closures are
occurring when they collapse under their own weight rather than FDIC
guidelines. Thus, losses are bigger and taxpayers pay more as this game
of pretend and extend goes on. I believe we are in much worse shape than
we are being told and that it is a bigger problem than the government
can handle. I also think the government knows this and that facing up to
it would destroy the dollar and/or country). Hence the pretend game.
Unfortunately the extend strategy will not work because underlying asset
collateral continues to decline and will probably do so for the next
several years. The pretend cannot go on for that long.
The banking
system is insolvent, period! Using honest accounting would reveal that
condition and expose the house-of-cards economy created via credit over
the past 2 or 3 decades. The problem is probably still economically
solvable but politically intractable so the government hopes to paper it
over. Enron-type accounting is allowed to enable banks to keep exposure
on non-consolidated subsidiary books. Banks are allowed to value assets
at whatever they deem them to be worth rather than accounting standards
that have been in place for centuries. Condoning this fraud may defer
the political problem. It cannot solve the economic problem and likely
makes it unsolvable at some point. Market forces will eventually
overwhelm the charade, and put our entire economic system at risk of
implosion.
Wednesday, February 22, 2012
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